Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.095397 0.105962 0.116820 0.128789 0.141583 0.154824 0.169538
2024-12-29 0.077900 0.093711 0.110828 0.130612 0.152723 0.176557 0.204069
2025-01-05 0.065533 0.084744 0.106520 0.132726 0.163105 0.196921 0.237113
2025-01-12 0.056022 0.077441 0.102749 0.134299 0.172015 0.215125 0.267578
2025-01-19 0.048106 0.070858 0.098803 0.134766 0.178940 0.230590 0.294689
2025-01-26 0.045856 0.070926 0.102634 0.144408 0.196731 0.258899 0.337118
2025-02-02 0.040914 0.066834 0.100692 0.146436 0.204922 0.275580 0.365739
2025-02-09 0.037145 0.063860 0.099808 0.149488 0.214168 0.293450 0.395840
2025-02-16 0.032785 0.059551 0.096717 0.149299 0.219032 0.305753 0.419098
2025-02-23 0.031627 0.059759 0.099699 0.157130 0.234257 0.331116 0.458724
2025-03-02 0.030090 0.059205 0.101485 0.163272 0.247283 0.353798 0.495215
2025-03-09 0.026575 0.055198 0.098015 0.161911 0.250171 0.363426 0.515249
2025-03-16 0.022525 0.050035 0.092701 0.157974 0.249814 0.369305 0.531262
2025-03-23 0.021098 0.049143 0.093742 0.163134 0.261979 0.391766 0.568951
2025-03-30 0.019458 0.047698 0.093816 0.166845 0.272196 0.411820 0.603828
2025-04-06 0.017690 0.045807 0.093033 0.169189 0.280483 0.429378 0.635643
2025-04-13 0.015797 0.043437 0.091284 0.169939 0.286441 0.443826 0.663490
2025-04-20 0.016040 0.045251 0.096466 0.181331 0.307730 0.479162 0.719162
2025-04-27 0.014671 0.043665 0.095851 0.183740 0.316110 0.497074 0.751959
2025-05-04 0.013621 0.042603 0.096029 0.187324 0.326192 0.517369 0.788072
2025-05-11 0.012090 0.040296 0.093881 0.187109 0.330643 0.529924 0.813914
2025-05-18 0.012036 0.041275 0.097562 0.196260 0.349008 0.561852 0.865997
2025-05-25 0.011706 0.041570 0.099999 0.203422 0.364486 0.589891 0.913031